Will China and the United States strategically confront and influence a generation?
Since the United States provoked the trade war, whether Sino-US relations will go down for a long time, or even a strategic deterioration, and thus affect the fate of a generation of young people, such fears have gradually spread throughout the Chinese society. Sino-US relations are not much better, but they are not bad. This was a long-term understanding of the Chinese, but things now seem to have changed.
There are various opinions on the reasons why Sino-US relations are like "the rain is coming." Some of them are objective analysis, and some of them carry ideological emotions. The dissatisfaction with certain domestic policies and the fear of the deterioration of Sino-US relations have complicatedly intertwined, leading to some pessimism and sighs. These voices and impulses have to be on the Internet from the other voice of the United States.
We believe that Sino-US relations do face major challenges. The trade war is actually a process of redefining Sino-US relations after the changes in the power structure of the two countries and the international situation. However, the possibility of a comprehensive confrontation between China and the United States is extremely low. The United States has a strategic desire to contain China's rise. At the same time, there is a realistic pursuit of maximizing the interests of the American people in each period. The US's international policy is destined to be the result of the joint shaping of these two tendencies.
Given that China is already the largest manufacturing country, has the greatest market potential, and is a nuclear power, the United States can never contain China in a simple way of isolation or even military coercion. Its containment strategy must also be suitable for the 21st century. Innovative way."
Under such circumstances, China must maintain its position and maintain its strength. It is neither blind nor confident, nor can it be afraid of beauty. We should rationally do the following:
First, to maintain modesty and defensiveness in strategy, under no circumstances do you voluntarily provoke the United States and do not take the initiative to show strength to the United States.
Second, when it is squeezed by the United States, it must be resolutely resisted and will never condone the US’s unreasonable practices. At the same time, we must let our resistance not exceed the scope of reciprocal counterattacks, and do not engage in excessive boycotts.
Third, do your utmost to avoid military conflicts between China and the United States. This needs to do two things. First, the Chinese military does not carry out US military actions against our core interests. Second, we must resolutely defend the red line drawn by us in the core interest areas, and accelerate the development of strategic forces including powerful nuclear forces. The United States does not dare to show me a show in China’s core interests.
Fourth, in the non-China core interests, we will cooperate with the United States, do not provoke confrontation with the United States, and fight against the hegemonic behavior of the United States in a multilateral manner.
Fifth, in terms of economic arrangements, respect intellectual property rights, handle the relationship between China's industrial upgrading and the United States' desire to maintain high-tech advantages, and seriously seek a win-win model to prevent this problem from exploding and let time solve its wisdom for both sides.
Sixth, seriously explore the real way that the rising China does not replace the United States or overwhelm the United States and the two countries to break the zero-sum game. The United States must accept China's economic growth as a country with a population that eventually exceeds its trend. China should accept that the United States continues to be the world's number one innovation center and has long been ahead of China in many aspects. Dealing with this relationship should be the core issue of the China-US strategic dialogue.
Seventh, China will not engage in global geopolitical games and strategic competition with the United States, but we will fight against its hegemonic practices and do not hesitate to safeguard China's interests.
Eighth, China will never give up its right to normal development. Under no circumstances will we seek peace from the United States by stopping progress and falling behind.
In short, China does not take the initiative to provoke the United States. At the same time, it must raise the cost of the United States to contain China, and seek a win-win model with the utmost sincerity. In this case, for the United States, the attraction of cooperation with China will be greater than the attraction of confrontation with China. Sino-US relations may avoid becoming a replica of the US-Soviet relationship in the 21st century.
The Sino-US trade war is an inevitable conflict, and it will bring reflection to both sides. In view of the fact that scientific decision-making and democratic decision-making have prevailed in the world, it is difficult to become a realistic policy of a big country by taking advantage of the fate of the entire country. The Chinese public must have confidence in the strength of our country and have confidence in the government's ability to manage complex situations. We must firmly believe that China has already passed the critical point that can be contained. Any force that wants to kill us is a delusion.
Nguồn: Thời báo Hoàn Cầu
Bài viết trên trang thể hiện quan điểm riêng của tác giả trên tờ Thời báo Hoàn Cầu của Tàu Cộng, không phải quan điểm của Liên Hiệp Hội Đồng Quốc Dân Việt Nam.
